Belief Formation ∗ †
نویسندگان
چکیده
An agent is unsure of the state of the world and faces computational bounds on mental processing. He gets signals imperfectly correlated with the true state that he will use to take a single decision. The agent has a finite number of “states of mind” that quantify his beliefs about the relative likelihood of the states. At a random stopping time, the agent will be called upon to make a decision based solely on his mental state at that time. We show that under quite general conditions it is optimal that the agent ignore signals that are not very informative.
منابع مشابه
An Investigation of Norm of Belief’s Proper Formulation
That falsity is a defect in belief can be captured with a prohibitive norm holding that truth is the necessary condition for permissibility of belief. Furthermore, such a formulation avoids the difficulties encountered in earlier literature that offered prescriptive norms. The normativity of belief thesis is widely discussed in the literature. I criticise bi-conditional formulation of the norm ...
متن کاملExtrapolative Beliefs in Perceptual and Economic Decisions: Evidence of a Common Mechanism
A critical component of both economic and perceptual decision-making under uncertainty is the belief formation process. However, most research has studied belief formation in economic and perceptual decision-making in isolation. One reason for this separate treatment may be the assumption that there are distinct psychological mechanisms that underlie belief formation in economic and perceptual ...
متن کاملEvaluation of Nurses' Belief of Pain in Patient Children
Background & Aim: Pain is one of the most common symptoms of hospitalized children and its evaluation and management as the fifth vital symptom is one of the important health care challenges that various factors such as misconceptions and misconceptions of care providers, especially nurses It is involved. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate nurses' beliefs about pain in children.. Materi...
متن کاملAnalysis of the Impact of Conspiracy Illusion in Iran's Political Underdevelopment (Second Pahlavi Era)
the present research seeks to answer the fundamental question of how the belief in the plot of conspiracy as a cultural barrier to the achievement of the Iranian society of political development has worked. In this research, using the documentary, historical and analytical method, the sociological analysis of the influence of the belief in the plot of conspiracy in the failure of the Iranian so...
متن کاملLearning to Coordinate by Forward Looking Players
Experiments show that players with identical information and objectives have heterogeneous behavior rules. We formulate how different beliefs arise from the same information and analyze how heterogeneous belief formation affects learning outcomes of two-person two-action coordination games. With heterogeneous belief formation, it is possible to generate enough diversity in actions for eventual ...
متن کاملJFGI: FROM DISTRIBUTED COGNITION TO DISTRIBUTED RELIABILISM<link href="#phis12036-note-0012"></link>
While, prima facie, virtue/credit approaches in epistemology would appear to be in tension with distributed/extended approaches in cognitive science, Pritchard (2010) has recently argued that the tension here is only apparent, at least given a weak version of distributed cognition, which claims merely that external resources often make critical contributions to the formation of true belief, and...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2012